Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Parma
44.45% ( -0.03)	25.73% ( -0)	29.83% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

0.04)

50.62% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

0.03)

72.53% (

-0.03)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

22.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.62% (

56.38%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

0.04)

31.15% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

0.05)

67.48% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Bari 44.44%

Parma 29.83%

Draw 25.72%

Bari	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.44%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.83%