Serie B | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 1
SPAL

Tessmann (12'), Pierini (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dickmann (56')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Benevento 1-2 Venezia
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: SPAL 3-4 Bari
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	SPAL
43.68% ( 0.39)	26.37% ( 0.05)	29.95% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82% (

-0.38)

53.18% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26% (

-0.32)

74.74% (

0.32)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

0.03)

24.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

0.04)

58.52% (

-0.04)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63% (

-0.51)

32.38% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

-0.58)

68.89% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Venezia 43.68%

SPAL 29.95%

Draw 26.36%

Venezia	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.95%