Serie B | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Oreste Granillo

Reggina
2 - 1
Modena

Pierozzi (26'), Strelec (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tremolada (39')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Reggina and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reggina

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 3-2 Reggina
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Modena had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.

Result
RegginaDrawModena
40.35% (-0.268 -0.27)26.89% (0.056999999999999 0.06)32.76% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.178 -0.18)54.35% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.149 -0.15)75.73% (0.148 0.15)
Reggina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.227 -0.23)26.44% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.302 -0.3)61.61% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.051000000000002 0.05)31.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.059999999999995 0.06)67.31% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Reggina 40.34%
    Modena 32.76%
    Draw 26.89%
RegginaDrawModena
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.34%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.76%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Modena
1-0
Reggina
Diaw (65')
Pergreffi (32')