Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato

Cittadella
3 - 3
Palermo

Maistrello (3', 74'), Antonucci (23' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-2)
Di Mariano (33' pen., 64'), Brunori (45+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Last Game: SPAL 2-1 Cittadella
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Pisa 1-1 Palermo
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
CittadellaDrawPalermo
50.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.01% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.45% (0.104 0.1)57.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (0.081 0.08)78.34% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Cittadella Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.028999999999996 0.03)22.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.58% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (0.107 0.11)40.59% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81% (0.097000000000001 0.1)77.19% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cittadella 50.59%
    Palermo 23.01%
    Draw 26.38%
CittadellaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 13.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.59%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.01%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Palermo
0-0
Cittadella

Cassandro (5')
May 11, 2019 2pm
Palermo
2-2
Cittadella
Nestorovski (21'), Trajkovski (23')
Diaw (65'), Adorni (82')
Frare (50')
Dec 30, 2018 2pm
Cittadella
0-1
Palermo

Adorni (37'), Benedetti (54')
Falletti (51')
Trajkovski (83'), Fiordilino (90')
Apr 17, 2018 7.30pm
Cittadella
0-0
Palermo

Chiaretti (12')

Jajalo (12'), Struna (46'), Gnahore (55'), Coronado (77')
Nov 20, 2017 7.30pm
Palermo
0-3
Cittadella

Bellusci (21')
Kouame (43'), Strizzolo (65'), Salvi (83')
Caccin (22'), Schenetti (34'), Iori (84')