Serie B | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
2 - 1
Cittadella

Fetfatzidis (41'), Prati (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ambrosino (79' pen.)

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Cittadella.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: SPAL 0-2 Frosinone
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cittadella

All competitions

Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Brescia
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Cittadella
42.09% ( -0.5)	26.75% ( -0.11)	31.17% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 50.67% (

0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

0.62)

54.21% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.38% (

0.52)

75.62% (

-0.51)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

0.02)

25.45% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

0.03)

60.28% (

-0.03)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

0.76)

32.04% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

0.85)

68.5% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

SPAL 42.08%

Cittadella 31.17%

Draw 26.74%

SPAL	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.17%