Serie B | Gameweek 27

Mar 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
0 - 2
Frosinone

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lucioni (24'), Caso (61')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 SPAL
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 3-4 Parma
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Frosinone
30.79% ( 0.52)	25.47% ( 0.03)	43.73% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84% (

0.11)

49.15% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

0.1)

71.22% (

-0.1)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28% (

0.42)

29.72% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

0.51)

65.79% (

-0.51)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

-0.21)

22.42% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

-0.31)

55.94% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

SPAL 30.79%

Frosinone 43.73%

Draw 25.47%

SPAL	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.79%	1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.73%