Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Frosinone
28.74% ( 0.02)	27.29% ( 0.01)	43.96% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.89% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.78% (

-0.04)

57.21% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

-0.03)

78.06% (

0.03)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

-0)

35.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.82% (

-0)

72.17% (

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-0.03)

25.86% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

-0.05)

60.83% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Palermo 28.75%

Frosinone 43.95%

Draw 27.29%

Palermo	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.75%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.95%