Serie B | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
3 - 0
SPAL

Dragusin (77'), Gudmundsson (90+3'), Salcedo (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Modena 2-2 Genoa
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Como
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	SPAL
54.4% ( -0.54)	25.53% ( 0.07)	20.07% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.67% (

0.25)

57.33% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

0.2)

78.16% (

-0.2)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

-0.12)

21.13% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

-0.18)

53.98% (

0.19)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.47% (

0.67)

43.52% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.27% (

0.55)

79.73% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Genoa 54.39%

SPAL 20.07%

Draw 25.53%

Genoa	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.39%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.07%