Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Ascoli
38.13% ( -1.54)	28.34% ( 0.27)	33.53% ( 1.27)

Both teams to score 46.6% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.36% (

-0.76)

59.64% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.04% (

-0.58)

79.97% (

0.59)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-1.28)

30.25% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-1.56)

66.42% (

1.56)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

0.49)

33.2% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

0.53)

69.8% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 38.12%

Ascoli 33.53%

Draw 28.34%

Cittadella	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.53%