Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Benevento
43.71% ( 0.02)	27.48% ( 0.06)	28.8% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 47.39% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13% (

-0.26)

57.87% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41% (

-0.2)

78.58% (

0.21)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

-0.11)

26.28% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.6% (

-0.15)

61.4% (

0.15)

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.2)

35.72% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.21)

72.49% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Bari 43.71%

Benevento 28.8%

Draw 27.48%

Bari	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.71%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 28.8%