Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Bari
31.11% ( -0.02)	28.33% ( 0.13)	40.56% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93% (

-0.45)

60.07% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

-0.34)

80.29% (

0.35)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85% (

-0.26)

35.15% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

-0.27)

71.9% (

0.27)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

-0.28)

29.03% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

-0.35)

64.94% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Ternana 31.11%

Bari 40.55%

Draw 28.32%

Ternana	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.11%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.55%