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Serie B | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
3 - 0
Ternana

Luperini (54', 90+5'), Santoro (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Perugia
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Parma
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.

Result
PerugiaDrawTernana
46.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)28.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)52.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.42%
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Perugia 46.04%
    Ternana 28.01%
    Draw 25.94%
PerugiaDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.01%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Ternana
1-0
Perugia
Donnarumma (36')
Proietti (29'), Palumbo (62'), Iannarilli (73'), Paghera (90+2')

Curado (61'), Rosi (87')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-1
Ternana
Kouan (30')
Burrai (17'), Sgarbi (77')
Pettinari (48')
Capuano (12'), Pettinari (39'), Sorensen (45+2'), Palumbo (90+2'), Diakite (90+2')
Apr 22, 2018 2pm
Perugia
2-3
Ternana
Di Carmine (28', 35')
Volta (41'), Bianco (90')
Tremolada (43'), Montalto (52', 80')
Favalli (54')
Nov 26, 2017 2pm
Ternana
1-1
Perugia
Montalto (36' pen.)
Montalto (45'), Signorini (60'), Carretta (77'), Paolucci (88')
Di Carmine (90' pen.)
Volta (45')
Volta (85')