Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Perugia logo

Ascoli
1 - 0
Perugia

Collocolo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 3-0 Ascoli
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 4-0 Brescia
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.

Result
AscoliDrawPerugia
42.33% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)27.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)29.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)58.53% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.1% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)62.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.23% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.99% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 42.33%
    Perugia 29.88%
    Draw 27.78%
AscoliDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 12.49%
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.88%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 3.15pm
Perugia
1-0
Ascoli
Strizzolo (42')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Perugia

Iliev (16'), Falasco (41'), Caligara (85')
Lisi (26')
Angella (14'), Matos (41'), De Luca (60'), Olivieri (80')
Aug 28, 2021 7.30pm
Perugia
2-3
Ascoli
Carretta (22'), Rosi (49')
Burrai (17'), Lisi (76')
Saric (4', 55'), Dionisi (60' pen.)
Buchel (21'), Dionisi (51'), Botteghin (69'), Eramo (89')
Jun 21, 2020 7.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Perugia

Brosco (33'), Troiano (40'), Leali (62'), Sernicola (90+3')
Nicolussi Caviglia (72')
Buonaiuto (53'), Rosi (70')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Perugia
1-1
Ascoli
Iemmello (51' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Sgarbi (83'), Rosi (89'), Falcinelli (94')
Scamacca (33')
rhs 2.0


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