Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Cagliari
46.33% ( 0.1)	26.45% ( -0.04)	27.23% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.17% (

0.1)

54.83% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

0.08)

76.13% (

-0.08)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

0.09)

23.63% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

0.13)

57.73% (

-0.13)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

35.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

72.1%

Score Analysis

Bari 46.32%

Cagliari 27.23%

Draw 26.44%

Bari	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.32%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.23%