Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.