Serie B Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • goal Walid Cheddira 45'+3'

Ascoli vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Modena 0 - 1 Ascoli
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Cedric Gondo

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Bari 1 - 0 Venezia
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Walid Cheddira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Ascoli 40.64% (-0.34)
Draw 28.96% (+0.10)
Bari 30.4% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.08% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.63% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 62.36% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 17.99% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 82% (+0.18)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5 69.88% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 30.12% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 33.74% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 66.26% (+0.38)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 63.08% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 36.92% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 26.29% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 73.71% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Ascoli 40.63%
Draw 28.94%
Bari 30.4%
Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.34% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.11% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.94%
Bari
0-1 @ 11.08% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.63% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 30.4%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • goal Lorenco Simic 78'
  • goal Federico Dionisi 90'
Serie B
Mar 28, 2018 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)
  • Daniele Buzzegoli 3' goal
  • Bright Addae 27' yellowcard
  • Andrea Mengoni 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Sabelli 44'
Serie B
Oct 28, 2017 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola (Bari)
  • Norbert Gyomber 21' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Improta 22' yellowcard
  • Cristian Galano 54' goal
  • Vasile Mogos 59' goal
  • Antonio Floro Flores 73' goal
  • Jacopo Petriccione 83' yellowcard
  • redcard Guillaume Gigliotti 38'
  • yellowcard Samuele Parlati 39'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Carpani 49'