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Serie B | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
0 - 1
Ascoli

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gondo (62' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Parma
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Perugia
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawAscoli
49.81% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)26.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)23.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.1% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-0.355 -0.36)56.39% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.6% (-0.287 -0.29)77.4% (0.288 0.29)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.164 -0.16)22.7% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-0.247 -0.25)56.37% (0.248 0.25)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-0.245 -0.24)39.07% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-0.231 -0.23)75.78% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Parma 49.8%
    Ascoli 23.93%
    Draw 26.26%
ParmaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 49.8%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.93%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 1pm
Ascoli
1-3
Parma
Lungoyi (79')
Tutino (8'), Inglese (18'), Man (66')
Vazquez (20')
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Parma
0-1
Ascoli

Vazquez (45'), Bernabe (45+2'), Larangeira (65'), Del Prato (82')
Bidaoui (43')
Salvi (45'), Buchel (85')
Dec 5, 2021 1pm
Ascoli
0-0
Parma

Salvi (37'), Bidaoui (90+3')
Salvi (90+4')

Man (59'), Brunetta (67'), Larangeira (84')
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Parma

Mengoni (42'), D'Urso (90')
Calaio (2')
Barilla (70')
Nov 18, 2017 2pm
Parma
4-0
Ascoli
Iacoponi (6'), Lanni (74' og.), Baraye (88'), Munari (90')
Lucarelli (85'), Scozzarella (87')

Gigliotti (87')
Addae (79')