Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Ternana
67.39% ( -0.61)	19.8% ( 0.4)	12.81% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 46.26% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

-1.2)

46.88% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

-1.13)

69.13% (

1.13)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

-0.53)

12.94% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.59% (

-1.11)

39.4% (

1.1)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.14% (

-0.4)

46.86% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.62% (

-0.31)

82.38% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Genoa 67.38%

Ternana 12.81%

Draw 19.8%

Genoa	Draw	Ternana
2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.82% Total : 67.38%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 19.8%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.81%