Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	SPAL
48.66% ( 0.14)	25.1% ( 0.02)	26.24% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

-0.18)

50.16% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

-0.16)

72.13% (

0.16)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.01)

20.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79% (

-0.02)

53.21% (

0.02)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.36% (

-0.22)

33.64% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.71% (

-0.25)

70.29% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Palermo 48.65%

SPAL 26.24%

Draw 25.1%

Palermo	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.65%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.24%