Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso
SPAL logo

Sudtirol
2 - 0
SPAL

Zaro (25', 74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 0-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: Cosenza 1-0 SPAL
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawSPAL
37.46% (0.504 0.5)27.86% (0.149 0.15)34.68% (-0.655 -0.66)
Both teams to score 48.15% (-0.502 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.21% (-0.602 -0.6)57.79% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.48% (-0.478 -0.48)78.52% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.01100000000001 0.01)29.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.012 0.01)65.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)31.48% (0.725 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.846 -0.85)67.87% (0.845 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 37.46%
    SPAL 34.67%
    Draw 27.86%
SudtirolDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.67%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
SPAL
1-1
Sudtirol
Meccariello (3')
La Mantia (37')
Zaro (54')
rhs 2.0


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