SPAL logo
Serie B | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Perugia logo

SPAL
1 - 1
Perugia

Moncini (62' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Casasola (12')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 0-0 Cosenza
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 48%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawPerugia
48% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)25.49% (0.004999999999999 0)26.51% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.69% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.044000000000004 0.04)51.55% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.038999999999998 0.04)73.34% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.49% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.53% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.095999999999989 0.1)34.16% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (0.101 0.1)70.86% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    SPAL 47.99%
    Perugia 26.51%
    Draw 25.49%
SPALDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.99%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 26.51%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2022 2pm
gameweek 16
Perugia
0-0
SPAL

Varnier (29')
Mar 16, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 30
Perugia
1-1
SPAL
Kouan (61')
Curado (44'), Burrai (81')
Latte Lath (90+4')
Zanellato (6'), Colombo (36'), Celia (50'), Capradossi (58')
Colombo (40')
Nov 1, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
SPAL
1-2
Perugia
Mancosu (26')
Mancosu (73'), Tripaldelli (74'), Colombo (78'), Coccolo (80'), Piscopo (84')
Curado (18'), De Luca (86' pen.)
Falzerano (28'), Rosi (67'), Curado (72')