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Serie B | Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
0 - 1
Modena

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gerli (46')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perugia 1-3 Reggina
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 0-0 Cittadella
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
PerugiaDrawModena
45.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)28.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.24%
Score Analysis
    Perugia 45.32%
    Modena 28.73%
    Draw 25.93%
PerugiaDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 28.73%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 1pm
Modena
1-1
Perugia
Tremolada (45')
Di Carmine (37')
Rosi (58')