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Fabio Gerli
46'
Perugia vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result
Perugia
45.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
25.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Modena
28.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
51.89%
Goals
Over 2.5
47.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
52.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
26.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
73.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
12.14%
Under 4.5
87.86%
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5
77.09%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
43.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
56.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5
67.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
32.69%
Over 1.5
30.76%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
69.24%
Score analysis
Perugia
45.32%
Draw
25.93%
Modena
28.73%
Perugia
1-0
@
11.03%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.32%
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 45.32%
Draw
1-1
@
12.33%
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.93%
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.93%
Modena
0-1
@
8.37%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 28.73%
1-2 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 28.73%