Serie B | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Perugia logo

Pisa
2 - 1
Perugia

Morutan (51'), Marin (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Casasola (39' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Pisa and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Pisa 1-1 Venezia
Friday, February 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 3-0 Ternana
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
PisaDrawPerugia
57.19% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)23.65% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)19.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (-0.012 -0.01)17.79% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)48.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (0.026000000000003 0.03)41.13% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (0.021999999999998 0.02)77.68% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pisa 57.17%
    Perugia 19.16%
    Draw 23.65%
PisaDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 12.63%
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.65%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.16%

How you voted: Pisa vs Perugia

Pisa
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Perugia
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3.15pm
Perugia
1-3
Pisa
Di Carmine (83')
Lisi (14')
Gliozzi (4', 88'), Toure (90+1')
Apr 10, 2022 5pm
Perugia
1-1
Pisa
Curado (67')
Dell'Orco (48'), Curado (88')
Puscas (28')
Hermannsson (62'), Torregrossa (90+2')
Nov 30, 2021 5pm
Pisa
1-1
Perugia
Marsura (11')
Beruatto (21'), Birindelli (43'), Hermannsson (75')
De Luca (72' pen.)
Kouan (22'), Zanandrea (57')
Zanandrea (79')
Feb 29, 2020 2pm
Pisa
1-0
Perugia
Vido (54')
Benedetti (41'), Caracciolo (50')
Fabbro (83')

Dragomir (48')
Oct 4, 2019 8pm
Perugia
1-0
Pisa
Iemmello (33')
Falzerano (71'), Vicario (89')