Serie B Gameweek 31
Apr 1, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza
  • Gabriele Moncini 4' goal
  • goal Andrea Favilli 84'

SPAL vs Ternana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 1.00pm
Sudtirol 2 - 0 SPAL
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gabriele Moncini

Ternana

All competitions
Last game
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Ternana 1 - 0 Bari
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Andrea Favilli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

SPAL 50.94% (+0.12)
Draw 23.97%
Ternana 25.08% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.17% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.66% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 46.34% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 31.37% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 68.63% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 15.63% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 84.37% (+0.08)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 81.78% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.22% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.76% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.23% (-0.01)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5 67.45% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 32.55% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 30.92% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 69.08% (+0.18)

Score analysis

SPAL 50.94%
Draw 23.97%
Ternana 25.08%
SPAL
1-0 @ 10.09% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.65% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.97%
Ternana
0-1 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 25.08%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2022 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Libero Liberati
Serie B Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2022 5.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Federico Melchiorri 14' goal
  • Marco Mancosu 36' goal
  • Raffaele Celia 37' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 50' yellowcard
  • Luca Vido 64' goal
  • Jacopo Da Riva 83' goal
  • Luca Vido 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Palumbo 45'
  • yellowcard Ilias Koutsoupias 49'
  • yellowcard Mattia Proietti 52'
  • yellowcard Salim Diakite 58'
  • goal Anthony Partipilo 75'
  • redcard Salim Diakite 81'
Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 26, 2021 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fabrizio Paghera 14' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martella 26' goal
  • Frederik Sorensen 57' yellowcard
  • Ilias Koutsoupias 79' yellowcard
  • Antony Iannarilli 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raffaele Celia 30'