Genoa vs Perugia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.