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Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 13, 2023 at 1pm UK
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Palermo

Deiola (25'), Lapadula (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Segre (16')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 0-5 Cagliari
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 2-1 SPAL
Saturday, May 6 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawPalermo
59.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)22.35% (0.0019999999999989 0)17.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.97% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.15%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89% (0.004999999999999 0)77.11% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 59.72%
    Palermo 17.92%
    Draw 22.35%
CagliariDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.09%
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 59.72%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.92%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2022 5.45pm
gameweek 18
Palermo
2-1
Cagliari
Brunori (37' pen.), Segre (53')
Pavoletti (90+5')
Altare (31')
Aug 12, 2018 7.30pm
Third Round
Cagliari
2-1
Palermo
Pavoletti (31', 73')
Cigarini (42')
Nestorovski (52')
Rajkovic (39'), Murawski (64')
Aug 12, 2017 8.15pm
Round Three
Cagliari
1-1
Palermo
 Cagliari win 4-2 on penalties
Pedro (45')
La Gumina (66')
Apr 2, 2017 2pm
Palermo
1-3
Cagliari
Gonzalez (26')
Gazzi (5'), Henrique (75'), Trajkovski (90')
Ionita (48', 89'), Borriello (58')
Isla (16')
Oct 31, 2016 8pm
Cagliari
2-1
Palermo
Dessena (53', 64')
Sau (28'), Pisacane (34'), Padoin (57'), Storari (78'), Barella (92')
Nestorovski (79')
Rispoli (18'), Quaison (34'), Aleesami (92')