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Serie B | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Ternana

Deiola (4'), Zappa (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Partipilo (12')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, April 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 1-4 Venezia
Sunday, April 23 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawTernana
55.84% (-0.175 -0.17)23.52% (0.074999999999999 0.07)20.64% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.92% (-0.193 -0.19)49.07% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (-0.174 -0.17)71.15% (0.17 0.17)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)17.4% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.16% (-0.232 -0.23)47.83% (0.227 0.23)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)38.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 55.84%
    Ternana 20.64%
    Draw 23.51%
CagliariDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.64%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 16
Ternana
1-0
Cagliari
Falletti (8' pen.)
Pettinari (45+1')