Serie B | Gameweek 29

Mar 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
4 - 1
Ascoli

Lapadula (56', 84'), Mancosu (61'), Zappa (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Forte (19')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Bari
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Ascoli
45.63% ( -0.01)	27.11% ( -0)	27.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75% (

0.02)

57.24% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.91% (

0.01)

78.09% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

25.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3% (

59.7% (

-0.01)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.38% (

0.02)

36.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.59% (

0.02)

73.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 45.63%

Ascoli 27.26%

Draw 27.1%

Cagliari	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.63%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.26%