Serie B | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
2 - 1
Pisa

Favilli (72' pen.), Falletti (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moreo (6')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-0 Ternana
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Pisa 0-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
TernanaDrawPisa
30.48% (1.103 1.1)27.88% (0.66 0.66)41.63% (-1.761 -1.76)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-1.379 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.33% (-1.993 -1.99)58.67% (1.996 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (-1.574 -1.57)79.22% (1.579 1.58)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.227 -0.23)34.86% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-0.24 -0.24)71.6% (0.244 0.24)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-1.858 -1.86)27.76% (1.862 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (-2.447 -2.45)63.34% (2.451 2.45)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 30.48%
    Pisa 41.63%
    Draw 27.88%
TernanaDrawPisa
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.688 0.69)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.331 0.33)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 9.68% (0.709 0.71)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 12.4% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 41.63%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 5pm
Pisa
3-1
Ternana
Tramoni (19'), Beruatto (32'), Barba (40')
Partipilo (45')
Palumbo (63')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
Pisa
0-0
Ternana

Sorensen (36'), Paghera (50'), Palumbo (59'), Ghiringhelli (63')
Sep 11, 2021 3.15pm
Ternana
1-4
Pisa
Donnarumma (30' pen.)
Ghiringhelli (47'), Sorensen (64')
De Vitis (9'), Sorensen (32' og.), Lucca (57'), Cohen (84')
Gucher (58'), Leverbe (82')