Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.