Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.