Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Ternana
41.7% ( -1.23)	25.54% ( 0.15)	32.75% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 55.1% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24% (

-0.31)

48.76% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.14% (

-0.28)

70.86% (

0.28)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

-0.73)

23.22% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87% (

-1.08)

57.13% (

1.08)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

0.55)

28.23% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

0.69)

63.93% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Brescia 41.7%

Ternana 32.75%

Draw 25.54%

Brescia	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.7%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.75%