Perugia vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Perugia win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.