Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 35.88%. A win for Bari had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Cagliari
34.7% ( -0.04)	29.41% ( 0.08)	35.88% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.72% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.79% (

-0.27)

63.21% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.38% (

-0.19)

82.62% (

0.19)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.17)

34.27% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.18)

70.97% (

0.18)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

-0.17)

33.48% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.18)

70.12% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Bari 34.7%

Cagliari 35.88%

Draw 29.4%

Bari	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.7%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.4%	0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.88%