Serie B Gameweek 36
May 6, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Davide Diaw 77' goal
  • goal Giacomo Ricci 34'

Modena vs Bari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2023 5.00pm
Venezia 5 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Bari

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2023 2.00pm
Bari 1 - 1 Cittadella
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Walid Cheddira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Modena 35.8% (+0.67)
Draw 28.62% (+0.13)
Bari 35.57% (-0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.95% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.49% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 60.51% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 19.37% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 80.62% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 7.98% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 92.02% (+0.19)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 67.86% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 32.13% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 31.38% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 68.61% (-0.24)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 67.71% (-0.74)
Under 0.5 32.28% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 31.21% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 68.78% (+0.83)

Score analysis

Modena 35.8%
Draw 28.61%
Bari 35.56%
Modena
1-0 @ 11.77% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.56% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 2.86% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.53% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.37% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
Bari
0-1 @ 11.72% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.56%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Ruben Botta 6' goal
  • Michael Folorunsho 20' goal
  • Giorgio Cittadini 54' goal
  • Valerio Di Cesare 90'+1' goal
  • goal Davide Diaw 90'+5'