Serie B | Gameweek 36

May 6, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
1 - 1
Bari

Diaw (77' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ricci (34')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 5-0 Modena
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Bari

All competitions

Last Game: Bari 1-1 Cittadella
Monday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Bari
35.8% ( 0.66)	28.62% ( 0.12)	35.57% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

-0.44)

60.51% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

-0.33)

80.62% (

0.33)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.2)

32.13% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.23)

68.61% (

-0.24)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.73)

32.28% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.83)

68.78% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Modena 35.8%

Bari 35.56%

Draw 28.61%

Modena	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.8%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.56%