Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Davide Diaw 14' goal
  • goal Adrian Benedyczak 16'

Modena vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 2.00pm
Perugia 0 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 2.00pm
Cittadella 0 - 1 Parma
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Franco Vazquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Modena 34.13% (-0.02)
Draw 26.81% (+0.01)
Parma 39.06% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.24% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.76% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.24% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.21% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.79% (+0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 70.19% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 29.81% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.11% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.89% (+0.04)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 73.13% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.87% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Modena 34.13%
Draw 26.81%
Parma 39.05%
Modena
1-0 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.81%
Parma
0-1 @ 10.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 39.05%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Franco Vazquez 71' goal
  • goal Diego Falcinelli 18'
  • goal Nicholas Bonfanti 26'