Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Parma
34.13% ( -0.02)	26.81% ( 0.01)	39.06% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

-0.03)

53.76% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.02)

75.24% (

0.03)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

-0.03)

29.81% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

-0.03)

65.89% (

0.03)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.01)

26.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-0.01)

62.18% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Modena 34.13%

Parma 39.05%

Draw 26.81%

Modena	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.13%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.05%