Serie B | Gameweek 32
Apr 10, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
0 - 1
Bari

FT(HT: 0-0)
Morachioli (90+3')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Sudtirol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 2-0 Benevento
Saturday, April 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bari in this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawBari
30.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)29.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01)40.71% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.81% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)62.67% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)82.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)37.2% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)73.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)30.23% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)66.39% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 30.24%
    Bari 40.7%
    Draw 29.03%
SudtirolDrawBari
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 30.24%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 13.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 40.7%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 1pm
Bari
2-2
Sudtirol
Di Cesare (43'), Salcedo (65')
Maita (90+2')
Tait (21'), Odogwu (37')