Serie B Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 24'

Cosenza Calcio vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cosenza Calcio

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 1.00pm
Ascoli 1 - 1 Cosenza

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 1.00pm
Cagliari 2 - 1 Palermo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 1-0 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result

Cosenza Calcio 26.86% (-0.04)
Draw 28.06% (+0.03)
Cagliari 45.08% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.67% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.26% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 60.73% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 19.21% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 80.79% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 7.88% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.11% (+0.04)

Cosenza Calcio Goals

Over 0.5 61.11% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 38.88% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 24.38% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 75.61% (+0.08)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 73.1% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.9% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.77% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.22% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Cosenza Calcio 26.86%
Draw 28.05%
Cagliari 45.08%
Cosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 9.88% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 10.46% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.05%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 13.73% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 9.02% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 45.08%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Gianluca Lapadula 65' goal
  • Nunzio Lella 86' goal