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Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
4 - 3
Bari

Sabelli (12'), Gudmundsson (34'), Ekuban (75'), Criscito (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Esposito (20'), Benedetti (68'), Cheddira (86')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 3-2 Genoa
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Reggina
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bari had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawBari
57.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)16.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 39.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44%54.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.51% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)84.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 57.34%
    Bari 16.99%
    Draw 25.65%
GenoaDrawBari
1-0 @ 16.36%
2-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 57.34%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.48%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 16.99%

How you voted: Genoa vs Bari

Genoa
100%
Draw
0.0%
Bari
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 19
Bari
1-2
Genoa
Cheddira (33')
Benedetti (43')
Puscas (2'), Gudmundsson (58')