Serie B | Gameweek 36

May 6, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 1
Ascoli

Bani (16'), Badelj (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marsura (68')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Genoa
Monday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Ascoli 2-1 Pisa
Monday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.98%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Ascoli
66.68% ( 3.42)	21.09% ( -1.54)	12.22% ( -1.88)

Both teams to score 40.85% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

2.03)

53.32% (

-2.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

1.7)

74.86% (

-1.69)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81% (

1.84)

15.19% (

-1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.18% (

3.36)

43.81% (

-3.36)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.16% (

-1.79)

51.83% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.1% (

-1.21)

85.9% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Genoa 66.68%

Ascoli 12.22%

Draw 21.09%

Genoa	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 14.83% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.9) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.65) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.79% Total : 66.68%	1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.69) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.14% Total : 12.22%