Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Sudtirol
45.98% ( 1.03)	27.69% ( -0.43)	26.33% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.22% (

1.12)

59.78% (

-1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.93% (

0.85)

80.07% (

-0.84)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

1.04)

26.01% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

1.38)

61.04% (

-1.38)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2% (

0.11)

38.8% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

0.1)

75.54% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 45.98%

Sudtirol 26.33%

Draw 27.68%

Ascoli	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.98%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.33%