Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Como	Draw	Ascoli
42.13% ( 1.71)	26.07% ( -0.04)	31.79% ( -1.68)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.69% (

-0.29)

51.3% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

-0.25)

73.13% (

0.25)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

0.75)

24.13% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

1.05)

58.43% (

-1.06)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

-1.25)

30.12% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

-1.52)

66.26% (

1.52)

Score Analysis

Como 42.12%

Ascoli 31.79%

Draw 26.06%

Como	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.79%