Serie B | Gameweek 37

May 13, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
3 - 2
Genoa

Mazzitelli (29'), Boloca (45+1'), Borrelli (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Badelj (14'), Gudmundsson (90+2')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Frosinone and Genoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Pisa 1-3 Frosinone
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Ascoli
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Genoa
41.26% ( 1.01)	28.19% ( 0.2)	30.55% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 46.2% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.25% (

-1.05)

59.75% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.95% (

-0.81)

80.05% (

0.81)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

0.06)

28.49% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.74% (

0.08)

64.26% (

-0.08)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61% (

-1.45)

35.39% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85% (

-1.53)

72.15% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 41.26%

Genoa 30.55%

Draw 28.19%

Frosinone	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.26%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.55%