Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
| 55.66% ( | 24.18% | 20.16% |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( | 52.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( | 73.97% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( | 18.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( | 49.98% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% ( | 40.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% ( | 77.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 4-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.16% |