Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.83% ( 0.48) | 25.65% ( 0.38) | 32.52% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( -1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% ( -1.88) | 49.29% ( 1.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% ( -1.72) | 71.34% ( 1.72) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( -0.58) | 23.4% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( -0.85) | 57.38% ( 0.86) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -1.46) | 28.64% ( 1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% ( -1.87) | 64.45% ( 1.87) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |