Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 4
Fiorentina

Biraschi (58')
Retegui (21'), Bani (80')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Biraghi (5'), Bonaventura (11'), Gonzalez (40'), Mandragora (56')
Biraghi (22'), Bonaventura (34'), Milenkovic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Modena
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 5 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Fiorentina
38.26% ( -0.06)	25.25% ( -0)	36.49% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

0.01)

46.81% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

0.01)

69.07% (

-0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.03)

24.12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-0.04)

58.42% (

0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

0.04)

25.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

0.05)

59.76% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Genoa 38.26%

Fiorentina 36.49%

Draw 25.24%

Genoa	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.26%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.49%