/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
-
Mateo Retegui
1'
-
Johan Vasquez
45'+3'
-
Morten Frendrup
48'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
51'
-
Mateo Retegui
57'
-
Silvan Hefti
90'+1'
-
Jacopo Manconi
29'
-
Edoardo Duca
32'
-
Luca Tremolada
40'
-
Mario Gargiulo
59'
-
Fabio Gerli
69'
-
Mario Gargiulo
77'
-
Jacopo Manconi
88'
Genoa vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Modena had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result
Genoa
58.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
22.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Modena
19.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
52.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
45.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
31.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
68.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
15.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
84.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
84.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
15.42%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
55.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
44.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5
62.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
37.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
25.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
74.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Genoa
58.3%
Draw
22.35%
Modena
19.34%
Genoa
1-0
@
10.87%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.3%
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.6%
0-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.35%
0-0 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.35%
Modena
0-1
@
5.67%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.34%