Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Modena had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Modena
58.31% ( -0.01)	22.35% ( 0)	19.34% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

-0.02)

45.89% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

-0.02)

68.2% (

0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.57% (

-0.01)

15.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.74% (

-0.02)

44.26% (

0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

37.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

74.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Genoa 58.3%

Modena 19.34%

Draw 22.35%

Genoa	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.3%	1-1 @ 10.6% 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.34%