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Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 13, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito

Benevento
2 - 1
Modena

Ciano (30'), Foulon (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Diaw (19')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Benevento and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 1-1 Bari
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawModena
55.96% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.74%21.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 54.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)44.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Benevento 55.96%
    Modena 21.3%
    Draw 22.74%
BeneventoDrawModena
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 21.3%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2022 1pm
gameweek 18
Modena
1-1
Benevento
Diaw (44')
Acampora (22')
Acampora (30')