Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
2 - 1
Sudtirol

Bonfanti (10'), Magnino (23')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tait (54')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Benevento 2-1 Modena
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
ModenaDrawSudtirol
48.2% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)27.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)24.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)60.54%
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02)41.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.25% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Modena 48.19%
    Sudtirol 24.05%
    Draw 27.75%
ModenaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 14.58%
2-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 48.19%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 24.05%

How you voted: Modena vs Sudtirol

Modena
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sudtirol
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
gameweek 19
Sudtirol
0-2
Modena

Masiello (25')
Magnino (22'), Armellino (81')