Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
53.81% (![]() | 25.59% (![]() | 20.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.99% (![]() | 57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.1% (![]() | 77.9% (![]() |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.76% (![]() | 21.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.85% (![]() | 54.15% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.24% (![]() | 42.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.91% (![]() | 79.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 10.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 11.95% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.72% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Juventus | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 36 |
3 | AC Milan | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
4 | Roma | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 24 |
5 | Napoli | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Fiorentina | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 22 |
9 | Lazio | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Torino | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Monza | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
12 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Udinese | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 12 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 11 |
18 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
20 | Salernitana | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |