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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Roma logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Roma

Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')
Saponara (25'), Martinez (42'), Venuti (50'), Jovic (64'), Julio (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (11')
Missori (32'), Solbakken (58'), Svilar (75'), Mourinho (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma

For all their recent stumbles, Fiorentina have been beaten at home just four times in Serie A this season, and they can close out their Stadio Franchi campaign with a win. Roma will be mentally preparing for events in Budapest next week and have all but written off chances of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawRoma
53.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 25.59% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 20.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)57% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)77.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.027999999999992 0.03)21.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (0.044999999999995 0.04)54.15% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (-0.02 -0.02)79.09% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 53.81%
    Roma 20.59%
    Draw 25.59%
FiorentinaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 14.07%
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina
41.7%
Draw
18.1%
Roma
40.2%
127
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')
Dodo (24')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 25
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
gameweek 6
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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