Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Roma

Jovic (85'), Ikone (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Shaarawy (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Roma
53.81% ( 0.05)	25.59% ( -0.02)	20.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.99% (

0.02)

57% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.1% (

0.02)

77.9% (

-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

0.03)

21.24% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85% (

0.04)

54.15% (

-0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.24% (

-0.02)

42.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91% (

-0.02)

79.09% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 53.81%

Roma 20.59%

Draw 25.59%

Fiorentina	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.81%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.59%