Serie A Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Luka Jovic 85' goal
  • Jonathan Ikone 88' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 11'

Fiorentina vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 21, 2023 2.00pm
Torino 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Arthur Cabral

Roma

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2023 5.30pm
Roma 2 - 2 Salernitana
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result

Fiorentina 53.81% (+0.05)
Draw 25.59% (-0.02)
Roma 20.59% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.08%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.99% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 57% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.9% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.57% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.43% (-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 78.76% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 21.24% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.85% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.15% (-0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 57.24% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.76% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 20.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.09% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 53.81%
Draw 25.59%
Roma 20.59%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 14.07%
2-0 @ 10.9% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.59%
Roma
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.59%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 40' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 82' goal
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 5' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 11' goal
  • Sofyan Amrabat 19' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 28' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 24'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 13' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 26' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 44' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 52' redcard
  • Jordan Veretout 64' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 79' goal
  • redcard Bartlomiej Dragowski 17'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 53'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 60'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 60' goal
  • Franck Ribery 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 40'
  • goal Leonardo Spinazzola 49'
  • yellowcard Marash Kumbulla 74'
  • goal Amadou Diawara 88'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 12' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 24' yellowcard
  • Jordan Veretout 33' yellowcard
  • Pedro 70' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaetano Castrovilli 32'
  • yellowcard Pol Lirola 51'
  • redcard Lucas Martinez 88'
Serie A Gameweek 36
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Jordan Veretout 45' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 87' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 35'
  • goal Nikola Milenkovic 54'
  • yellowcard Martin Caceres 72'
  • yellowcard Rachid Ghezzal 86'
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 88'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 90'+6'