Potential new EL header

Europa League

Leverkusen logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Roma logo

B. Leverkusen
0 - 0
Roma

FT

The Match

Match Report

Roma book their spot in the final of the Europa League courtesy of a 1-0 aggregate success over Bayer Leverkusen after a 0-0 semi-final second-leg draw.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRoma
45.53% (0.07 0.07)27.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)27.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.7% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (0.158 0.16)57.05% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (0.127 0.13)77.94% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.10599999999999 0.11)25% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (0.14899999999999 0.15)59.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.067 0.07)36.4% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.067 0.07)73.19% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 45.52%
    Roma 27.4%
    Draw 27.06%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.4%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Roma

Bayer Leverkusen
48.2%
Draw
18.2%
Roma
33.5%
170
Head to Head
May 11, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Roma
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Bove (63')
Mancini (58'), Abraham (76'), Ibanez (89'), Spinazzola (90+3')

Andrich (50'), Tah (57'), Diaby (57')
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Salah (2'), Dzeko (29'), Pjanic (80' pen.)
Torosidis (91'), Szczesny (94')
Mehmedi (46'), Hernandez (51')
Papadopoulos (61')
Toprak (79')
> Match Report
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-4
Roma
Hernandez (4' pen., 19'), Kampl (84'), Mehmedi (86')
Kramer (36'), Wendell (90')
De Rossi (29', 37'), Pjanic (54'), Falque (73')
Nainggolan (24'), de Rossi (34')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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