Europa League
May 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Bayer Leverkusen vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
May 11, 2023 8.00pm
Roma 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
May 11, 2023 8.00pm
Roma 1 - 0 B. Leverkusen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 45.53% (+0.08)
Draw 27.07% (-0.05)
Roma 27.4% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.95% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 57.05% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 22.06% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 77.94% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 9.55% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 90.45% (-0.08)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 75% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 25% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 40.35% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.65% (-0.15)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 63.6% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 36.4% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.81% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 73.19% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 45.52%
Draw 27.06%
Roma 27.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 45.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.1% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
Roma
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.4%

Head to Head

Europa League
May 11, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edoardo Bove 63' goal
Champions League
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 2' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 29' goal
  • Miralem Pjanic 80' goal
  • Vasilis Torosidis 91' yellowcard
  • Wojciech Szczesny 94' yellowcard
  • goal Admir Mehmedi 46'
  • goal Javier Hernandez 51'
  • yellowcard Kyriakos Papadopoulos 61'
  • redcard Omer Toprak 79'
Champions League
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Javier Hernandez 4' goal
  • Javier Hernandez 19' goal
  • Christoph Kramer 36' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 84' goal
  • Admir Mehmedi 86' goal
  • Wendell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Radja Nainggolan 24'
  • goal Daniele de Rossi 29'
  • yellowcard Daniele de Rossi 34'
  • goal Daniele de Rossi 37'
  • goal Miralem Pjanic 54'
  • goal Iago Falque 73'